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Measures at the end of polls - CalMatters

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They say money can’t buy happiness — and that’s probably true for backers of two duel initiatives in California’s Nov. 8 vote to legalize sports betting. did.

All funds raised by four campaigns on both sides of Propositions 26 and 27 — about $441 million so far, almost double the previous record of $226 million set in 2020 — Both bills are fairly poorly penetrated by voters, according to new polls. From the Institute of Government Research at the University of California, Berkeley, co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times.

  • Proposition 26 would allow Native American casinos and four California racetracks to offer face-to-face sports betting and tribal casinos to start offering roulette and dice games, 42% dissented was supported by just 31% of voters, compared to A poll shows that 27% are undecided. Proposition 26 is backed by a large coalition of Native American tribes.
  • Proposition 27, which would allow licensed tribes and large gaming companies to offer online and mobile sports betting outside of tribal lands, was supported by just 27% of voters, 53% opposed and 20% undecided. It was a decision. Proposition 27 is backed by online gaming companies such as DraftKings and FanDuel and his three tribes of Native Americans.

The campaign doesn’t have much time to change the minds of Californians. County elections offices must begin mailing ballots to all valid registered voters by Monday, with Election Day just five weeks away.

The poll also found that a large amount of the campaign’s cash may actually be a liability.Voters who reported seeing many advertisements for props. They were more likely to vote “by a large margin” against both bills than voters who had seen little or nothing.

It probably doesn’t help that many of the ads are confusing and even misleading, and that the ads are funded by four different ballot measure campaigns made up of complex casts of players.

  • One campaign, primarily supported by Native American tribes, is focused solely on opposing Proposition 27.
  • Another campaign, primarily funded by tribes, focuses on both supporting Prop. 26 and opposing Prop. 27.
  • A third campaign, funded primarily by online gaming companies, is focused on supporting Proposition 27.
  • And fourth, funded primarily by card rooms — Tribal Casino’s main competitor — is focused on beating Proposition 26.

Cathy Fairbanks, spokesperson for the Yes on 26/No on 27 campaign, told the Los Angeles Times that her side was grateful. ”

Nathan Click, a spokesperson for the Yes on 27 campaign, told the Times that Proposition 27 “faced an attack of over $100 million in misleading deception, reaching $45 million before it was eligible to vote. ‘ said. This shows that these same opponents have not spent a dime to support their own sports betting proposals,” Proposition 26.

props. According to a list maintained by Sacramento-based i Street Public Affairs, the editorial boards of major California newspapers also voiced their opposition on Tuesday and Wednesday, but none of them took either action. does not support either.

Other key takeaways from the UC Berkeley Government Research Institute poll:

  • 57% OF POTENTIAL VOTERS SUPPORT PROPOSITION 31, This supports a 2020 law banning the sale of certain flavored tobacco products signed into law by Gov. Gavin Newsom, but 31% oppose and want the law overturned. Another 12% are undecided.
  • 49% of potential voters back Proposition 30, It would impose a new tax on billionaires to fund electric vehicle programs and other climate change initiatives, with 37% opposed and 14% undecided.
  • 53% of voters will vote for Newsom in the gubernatorial race. Democratic incumbents, 32%, say they support his challenger, Bieber Republican Senator Brian Dahl. Support for the Democratic Party rose seven percentage points, but not enough to affect the uphill battle facing Republicans in deep blue California.

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1
PROP 30 EVALUATION OF EXPENDITURES

A man charges his car at an electric car charging station in Burlingame. Photo credit: Martin do Nascimento, CalMatters

From CalMatters Political Reporter Ben Christopher: With the California election campaign scrambling to raise cash five weeks to go until the Nov. 8 election, the Commission has launched Proposition 30 (Millions of Millions to Fund Electric Vehicle Programs and Other Climate Initiatives). against taxing the millionaires) and turned to new sources of funding. :stock.

The “No on 30” acquired more than $2.3 million worth of company stock this year, according to campaign funding figures filed with the state at the end of September.

As the financial portfolio progresses, it is heavily invested in technology, pharmaceuticals and, of course, even fossil fuels. Some of its larger holdings are:

  • 3,920 shares Total at time of donation: $490,314 by Take-Two Interactive, the videotape company that owns Rockstar Games.
  • 2,848 shares Total for high-performance chip maker NVIDIA Corp.: $463,085.
  • 1,623 shares Exxon’s 1,510 With liquefied natural gas developer New Fortress Energy 260 at Australian oil rig Woodside Energy. Total amount: $328,792.

The small pile of Commission stock is just a fraction of the $9.1 million in cash raised to date. And that’s just a drop in a sea of ​​corporate donations compared to the $47 million that Jesus siphoned on the 30th — more than $45 million came from ride-sharing giant Lyft, which also announced its 2020 Spent $49 million to help make ballot measure successful, an initiative that set previous spending records exempt from state labor laws.

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Giving stock seems to be a uniquely Silicon Valley way of influencing elections. About a quarter of the funds raised by the San Francisco District Attorney’s successful campaign to recall her Chesa Boudin came in the form of company stock, reports the San Francisco Standard.

  • One possible reason for this trend: Neither donors nor ballot measure committees are required to pay capital gains on contributed stock.

This is a particularly attractive tax incentive for donors who hold shares that have skyrocketed in value since their initial purchase, a hallmark of successful venture capitalist portfolios.

CalMatters has reviewed all non-cash donations reported to ballot measure committees statewide in the past two years. Only “No on 30” arrived. San Francisco election attorney Jim Sutton said he wasn’t surprised.

  • Sutton: “This is a ballot measure aimed specifically at wealthy people, who are likely to appreciate the stock.

Prop. 30 supporters have spent weeks blaming the “no” side, accusing it of a campaign funded by selfish billionaires trying to avoid tax increases, but stock donations provided even more ammunition.

  • Yes on 30 campaign consultant Steven Maviglio said: “Millionaires find ways to avoid taxes by donating, but contribute to measures that force them to pay higher taxes.”

No on 30 spokesperson Amelia Matier said the equity contribution was little significant compared to the millions of dollars Lyft spent to support the proposal. She said ride-sharing companies are spending “50 times what other donors do for her.”

  • Mathieu: “The real question is, do Californians want their own pocket money by campaigning for companies to circumvent our laws?”

2
Medical unions put wage dispute to vote

Healthcare workers protest outside the Centinella Hospital Medical Center in Los Angeles on May 5, 2020. Photo credit: Lucy Nicholson, Reuters

Why are Californians voting for the third time on whether to create new rules for dialysis clinics? -There is the United Health Workers West, which is known to routinely turn to voters and use the initiative process as a negotiation tactic, including at the local level. Voters in the cities of Duarte and Inglewood in Southern California will decide the fate of the SEIU-UHW initiative on Nov. 8, reports Ana B. Ibarra of CalMatters, a private hospital, integrated health system, and dialysis clinic . Earlier this year, unions tried to strike out a last-minute legislative deal to raise the minimum wage for health care workers statewide in both public and private facilities, but a local victory could spur a larger movement. Meanwhile, California hospital lobbying and the statewide health care system are pouring at least $17 million into defeating the Duarte and Inglewood measures.

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